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	<title>eco logic &#187; Global change and conservation</title>
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	<link>http://conservation.in/blog</link>
	<description>reasoned reconciliation between people and nature</description>
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		<title>The elephant in your coffee</title>
		<link>http://conservation.in/blog/the-elephant-in-your-coffee/</link>
		<comments>http://conservation.in/blog/the-elephant-in-your-coffee/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jun 2010 03:12:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pavithra Sankaran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global change and conservation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Human-wildlife coexistence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Western Ghats]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://conservation.in/blog/?p=1215</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Got a cup of coffee in hand as you read the paper this morning? Much of the coffee we drink in India is grown in the hilly, southern districts of Coorg, Wayanad and Nilgiris. To the east of these picturesque and popular holiday destinations is a vast tract of impoverished dry-land agriculture. Farmers here have [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Got a cup of coffee in hand as you read the paper this morning? Much of the coffee we drink in India is grown in the hilly, southern districts of Coorg, Wayanad and Nilgiris. To the east of these picturesque and popular holiday destinations is a vast tract of impoverished dry-land agriculture. Farmers here have traditionally grown rain-fed crops of millets, pulses and oilseeds.</p>
<p>While coffee is grown by the relatively well-off, farmers in the plains rarely have the capital to invest into seeds and fertilisers each sowing season. They borrow from local moneylenders, who charge annual interest rates between 40 and 300 percent. Few farmers are able to repay these debts, which turn into crippling inheritances passing from father to son.</p>
<p>For decades, this was the saga of farming here. But since the 1990s, a massive but quiet economic revolution has unfolded, driven by trade in a rather unusual commodity.</p>
<p>Cattle dung. Nearly all the 30,000 farmers in these dry-lands keep cattle, mainly as draught animals and also for dung, traditionally an important input into farming. Farmers began selling this humble cow-dung because it fetched a far higher price than chemical fertilisers: for the price of one kilo of cow-dung you could buy 10 times its subsidised chemical equivalent.</p>
<p>But who was buying such expensive manure? It was coffee growers from the adjoining hills. They had had a major windfall in the early 1990s from soaring global coffee prices. The market leaders, Brazil and Colombia, suffered a series of frosts and droughts to which they lost half their produce. This seriously dented the global supply and pushed prices to heights never seen before. Smaller players like India made a killing, bringing massive profits to coffee growers in this region.</p>
<p>Flush with cash, they sought organic manure because it improved the yield and quality of coffee. And of course, conscientious and discerning consumers like you and I were willing to pay higher prices for coffee grown on organic inputs. Does this not sound like a fantastic example of consumer choice benefitting the last link in the value chain—the impoverished farmer of our story who supplied cow-dung to the coffee grower?</p>
<p>But, let’s not stop with the farmer. Let us take this story a step further. Lying just beyond the fields of these farmers is a large and spectacular tract of forest, stretching from Nagarahole and Wayanad, to Bandipur and Mudumalai. Together, these jungles hold nearly a fifth of the world’s remaining tigers and Asian elephants.</p>
<div id="attachment_1216" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 606px"><a rel="attachment wp-att-1216" href="http://conservation.in/blog/the-elephant-in-your-coffee/picture-079/"><img class="size-large wp-image-1216" title="Elephants in Bandipur" src="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/06/Picture-079-596x396.jpg" alt="" width="596" height="396" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Is our demand for organic coffee driving elephants in southern India to the brink?</p></div>
<p>Which brings us to the twist. The cow-dung that goes into organic coffee, comes straight out of the cattle that graze—illegally—inside the last strongholds of the tiger and the elephant. Farmers have nowhere but these fragile forests to graze their cattle, which number in lakhs. And since the dung trade began, their populations have risen sharply. These cattle convert the forests, with ruthless efficiency, into first class manure. As they have marched in, the forests have retreated and the numbers of wild herbivores—deer, wild cattle and elephants—have declined.</p>
<p>Thus, in a strange juxtaposition only globalisation can bring, the frosts in faraway Brazil and, not to forget, conscientious consumers of organic coffee worldwide, have helped convert some of the best and last remaining elephant and tiger forests in the world first into cow-dung and then into coffee.</p>
<p>So, as you take your next sip of coffee, perhaps you want to check if it tastes… just a little bit strange.</p>
<p>- M D Madhusudan and Pavithra Sankaran</p>
<p><em>This article appeared in the Times of India dated 25 June 2010.</em></p>
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		<title>Shallow strands: running aground in the reefs of the Lakshadweep</title>
		<link>http://conservation.in/blog/shallow-strands-running-aground-in-the-reefs-of-the-lakshadweep/</link>
		<comments>http://conservation.in/blog/shallow-strands-running-aground-in-the-reefs-of-the-lakshadweep/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 May 2010 07:34:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rohan Arthur</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global change and conservation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oceans and Coasts]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://conservation.in/blog/?p=1188</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If this is a vision of dying, it is a reassuringly rowdy affair, more bar-room brawl than somber wake.  The corpse lies all around, its skeleton slowly decaying and it is difficult to reanimate her in your imagination from the scattered ribs that remain.  Rowdy rabbles swarm around, and every so often, soundless scuffles break [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If this is a vision of dying, it is a reassuringly rowdy affair, more bar-room brawl than somber wake.  The corpse lies all around, its skeleton slowly decaying and it is difficult to reanimate her in your imagination from the scattered ribs that remain.  Rowdy rabbles swarm around, and every so often, soundless scuffles break out between the factions, as they push and shove for prime parts of this carcass.  It’s a dynamic dying this, and after more than a century, the process of transforming dust to dust continues unabated.</p>
<p>Our being here is a violation surely, another sacred space invaded in the increasing commodification of voyeuristic experience, and if I am not entirely uncomfortable with being part of this grave-diving party, it is because we are not the first ones here. The giant sweetlips, motionless above the drop-off gives us a patient, tired look as we disturb his hunting ground. There is a quiet disdain in his assessment: with lycra skins, plastic fins, silicone eyes and artificial respirators, we are more synthetic than organic, and rather inelegant aliens in his silent universe. I guess he knows from experience that if he tolerates our presence another hour, either our weak physiologies or our primitive technologies will force us to surface leaving the busy shipwreck to get on with the long, elaborate business of decay.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1191" style="margin: 5px;" title="the giant sweetlips" src="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/05/giant-sweetlips-bw-223x300.jpg" alt="the giant sweetlips" width="223" height="300" /></p>
<p>And as you surface, you look back once more at the wreck below.  From out in the blue the ship is a laceration on the face of the reef, a deep gash that starts at 17 meters and continues until it meets the breakers at the surface. The island of Minicoy has several such wounds on her reef face &#8211; steam ships that ran aground on trans-Indic voyages, carrying grain and cotton and spices and travellers between Europe and the Indies.  After 1885 the wrecks are less frequent after a lighthouse was erected on the southern tip of the island.  The lighthouse is manned still; the lighthouse keeper is a gentleman in the old manner &#8211; a self-styled naturalist, a collector of flotsam, keenly aware of the historical symbolism of his post, a proud custodian of his craft.  He accompanies us up the winding iron staircase of the lighthouse, and from this height you can just about make out where the wrecks of old wounded the reef before this tower was built.</p>
<p>Wounds heal.  After the grinding crush of iron keel on aragonite coral, after the life rafts are deployed and the passengers rescued, after the cargo holds are salvaged and the ship stripped of every useable part, the reef calls on its resources to try, as best it can, to repair the tear in its ecological skin.  The fish are the first to venture back, and for species that thrive on structure, a fresh wreck can be choice real estate.  The benthos takes a little longer.  Coralline algae will eventually cover the metal remains, and where there is coralline algae, coral is not far behind.  Slowly, the aragonite will grow back again, and although the scars will always show, the reef does its best to embrace the alien structure and make it part of its own complex framework.  Given enough time, the wreck is little more than a cicatrix on the bark of the reef, a mild blemish of rusting metal and flourishing coral.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-1194" title="collare bw" src="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/05/collare-bw-596x507.jpg" alt="collare bw" width="596" height="507" /></p>
<p><img class="alignright size-large wp-image-1192" style="margin: 5px;" title="The wreck of the SS Colombo?" src="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/05/wreck-1-bw-447x596.jpg" alt="The wreck of the SS Colombo?" width="251" height="334" />The reef is good at mending bruises.  From its pre-Cambrian origins, it has spent most of its existence on a turbulent earth, shifting and gurgling with earthquakes and tsunamis, storms and high waves, extreme tides and shifts in temperature.  And by now the threats of ocean warming and El Niño events on coral reefs are familiar tropes to a media-suffused populace.  We have all seen, and  are perhaps even a little weary of those dramatic images of bleaching coral and dying reefs.</p>
<p>When a small disturbance scales up to catastrophe like this, the self-healing capacities of the reef are put seriously to test.  Yet even here, a healthy reef can recover.  Much is dependent on having good neighbours close at hand. If a few of these reefs escaped the big catastrophe, they can seed the bare spaces with coral. Like white blood cells to the site of a lesion, a flood of coral spat will descend on the spot made dead and vacant by the disturbance, and occupy every free space.  And if the reefs still have a fair complement of grazing herbivores &#8211; surgeonfish, parrotfish and the like &#8211; those opportunistic algae that can quickly bully out the coral will be kept under check. Given a period of relative calm, and this spat will quickly grow, engaging in a serious-as-death struggle with its compatriots for a space in the sun. Within a decade or so, the wound is mended.</p>
<p>Even in a healthy reef, scars remain long after the healing.  Some species of fish and coral may never recolonize a reef if their populations fail.  These absences often go completely unrecorded, because we often have no baselines to help us determine the loss.  The species that remain have strange demographies, dominated by young individuals, or with some ages completely missing from the population.  These populations, like some post-war generation of lost young soldiers, will carry the signature of this loss for a long time after the disturbance has gone.</p>
<p>Back down in the reefs of the Minicoy you can read this signature everywhere. Minicoy bears the burden of its isolation heavily when hit by large disturbances.  The once effulgent abundances of branching <em>Acropora</em> are there no longer, and you suspect (although you have no way of knowing) that many of the genus are probably locally extinct.  The coral that remain are either very large &#8211; survivors of the last mass bleaching &#8211; or very small &#8211; individuals that managed to recruit to the reef after the event.</p>
<p>As you descend to the wreck <img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1193" style="margin: 5px;" title="soft coral  landscape bw" src="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/05/soft-coral-landscape-bw-223x300.jpg" alt="soft coral landscape bw" width="223" height="300" />for one last time, you realise, that viewed in one way, the scornful dismal of the sweetlips on your previous visit, was actually a fair metaphor for the wreck itself.  Much like you, the wreck is a bionic entity &#8211; and after all these years, the identities blur between human and natural forging.  This is not new of course. The ability of coral to take human structures and make them its own is well known.  And it does not take long for us to wonder if this ability can be used to help reefs in the process of wound healing &#8211; hurry along a repair that would otherwise take decades.  It is a neat idea surely, and it appeals to the engineers in us.  We are a meddling lot, and it is difficult to leave well-enough alone. Already, on experimental and larger scales, there are efforts afoot to restore reefs through artificial means, using many of the same techniques the reef uses when dealing with a shipwreck.  Concrete blocks of different configurations are being cemented to the reef, waiting for recruits of coral to descend.  Complex electrified contraptions are being established, with the purported aim of encouraging calcium deposition.  For many, even these relatively passive means are not fast enough.  Nurseries of coral are being constructed, where coral from the reef is broken into bits and coaxed to grow into individual heads.  These will later be taken and cemented to the reef, to produce, in the reasoning of the coral nurserymen, instant reefs.</p>
<p>If I come across as a tad sceptical, it is not because I do not believe that these techniques of engineering reefs are a solution.  What I am not entirely sure about is what problem they are a solution for.  The dilemmas the reef face today from local and global pressures are complex ecological dilemmas, and trying to solve them with simple &#8211; dare I say, simplistic &#8211; engineering solutions is appealing surely, but almost certainly blinkered.  If it is our meddling that has brought reefs to the current brink of disaster, it is a vain presumption to believe that all it will take is a little more meddling to right those wrongs.  More seriously for me, it appears to absolve us of deeper responsibilities &#8211; to understand the underlying processes that drive the reef’s immune system in the face of disturbance and catastrophe, and to ensure that these processes are protected.  This takes more imagination of course.   It requires a certain humility to recognise the boundaries of our own accomplishments. And it requires an intellectual investment beyond cement and epoxy. In the absence of this knowledge, the future for reefs is uncertain. We are traveling without a lighthouse here, and shallow strands are everywhere.</p>
<p>A version of this post first appeared on the <a title="NDTV blog site" href="http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/new/Ndtv-Show-Special-Story.aspx?ID=530&amp;StoryID=NEWEN20100138146" target="_blank">NDTV blog site</a>.</p>
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		<title>Sentience for conservation</title>
		<link>http://conservation.in/blog/sentience-for-conservation/</link>
		<comments>http://conservation.in/blog/sentience-for-conservation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 May 2010 14:30:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>T R Shankar Raman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cognition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global change and conservation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philosophy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://conservation.in/blog/?p=1087</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What would our life be like if we could see, but not discern? If we could hear, but not listen, and if we could touch, but not feel? How would we experience life if we could taste and smell, but not savour? What would we be like, as a species and as individuals, if we [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What would our life be like if we could see, but not discern? If we could hear, but not listen, and if we could touch, but not feel? How would we experience life if we could taste and smell, but not savour? What would we be like, as a species and as individuals, if we could sense everything, yet make sense of nothing? Would our life be the same? Would we be the same? Would we even be human?</p>
<p>Biologists and philosophers have many lofty answers to the deeply fundamental questions of human existence. Ask <a href="http://www.richarddawkins.net/" target="_blank">Richard Dawkins</a> and he will, delving into the firmaments of the science of evolutionary biology, essay answers to the question he posed in the opening of his famous book <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Selfish_Gene" target="_blank"><em>The Selfish Gene</em></a>: why are people? The answers provide one view of our existence. Ask the philosophers and they will thread you through the arguments as to what sets apart <em>us</em> from <em>them</em>, and how we know we are who we are. The religions and the prophets have their own answers, too, some deep, many dubious. For me, as yet, the glimmerings of an understanding hover at the periphery of my vision, but is clouded by an intellectual cataract that needs to be lifted.</p>
<p>We are a species named <em>Homo sapiens</em>, meaning the man that knows or the man who is wise. Sometimes it seems strange that <em>sapiens</em>, a Latin word meaning wise, is applied to our species. Behind and beyond our intellectual and cultural achievements is a litany of apparently senseless acts—war and plunder, environmental destruction and pillage, racism and genocide, crimes and violence—which questions the assumption that we are the wise ones. Are we truly sapient? I, for one, am not so sure.</p>
<p>We are also called <em>human</em> <em>beings</em>. I am not a trained philosopher, yet it seems to me this is a term of firmer substance. It suggests a species that has something above a mere functional existence, it hints at the possession of a <em>mind</em> of non-trivial cognitive capacity, and of certain existential qualities of perception and self-awareness. To me, it suggests and in some ways is inseparable from, a refined quality of sentience.</p>
<p>The dictionaries define sentience as the state of having or feeling sensation, or our faculty or readiness to perceive sensations. We may perceive our own sentience and those of others in many ways. A neurologist may see it in the firing of neurons in the brain as clearly as a behaviourist may see it in the turn of a head. It may be in the dilation of the pupils in the eye, in a lump in the throat, or, during the aftermath of an emotive moment, in an averted glance or in the words said or left unsaid. We <em>feel</em> it; it <em>affects</em> us.</p>
<p>Are we a sentient species? Sure, we are.</p>
<p>If we take sentience to refer to the form of perception or awareness of sensations emanating from our sense organs, we are clearly not alone, as a species on this planet, in being sentient. Yet, sentience has also been defined as &#8220;an example of harmonious action between the intelligence and the sentiency of the mind&#8221;. Applied to us, this view of sentience suggests the need to strike a harmony between our intelligent understanding of the world and our mind influenced by sentient perception. It suggests a marriage between reason and affect. A marriage that, if performed, may justify our claim, as a species and as individuals, to uniqueness.</p>
<p>I think of human sentience often, in the context of conservation. I think of it when a burst oil well a mile under the sea spews, not spills, millions of litres of oil into the open ocean. When equatorial rainforest of exhilarating diversity is cut and burned to make way for a vast plantation of one species. When the furrows of old roads and mines are still raw on the hills and the metal claws of heavy vehicles gouge for more. And when the rail track sings to the passing of an express train—sings a ringing requiem for the four elephants left behind, their life ebbing away in stunned and bloody repose. I think of it, even, when the man, by the side of the road, raises his crowbar to bring it  down on the head of a small, harmless, and nearly-blind burrowing snake, just because it is a snake.</p>
<div id="attachment_1177" class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 606px"><a href="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/05/eravikulam_wallpaper.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-1177" title="eravikulam_kalyan_varma" src="http://conservation.in/blog/wp-content/uploads//2010/05/eravikulam_wallpaper.jpg" alt="Image courtesy: Kalyan Varma (www.kalyanvarma.net)" width="596" height="447" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Image courtesy: Kalyan Varma (www.kalyanvarma.net)</p></div>
<p>Aren&#8217;t these, and many other human-nature interactions, matters that not only concern us, but <em>affect </em>us? Should we then approach solutions for a reconciliation purely through reason and science, as is a common refrain (including of <a href="http://conservation.in/blog" target="_blank">this blog</a>), or include in our ambit human emotion and feeling? Can we build a popular movement, patriotic to a cause as to a nation, if we were to use only logic and dry fact, ignoring sentiment and disposition, music and arts, poetry and passion? Should we always seek answers in our intellect rather than in our  humanity? In today&#8217;s world, where credible science is called for to inform debate and decisions, human emotion and feeling is treated as an errant child to be kept in rein—side-lined, side-stepped—or as an unwanted churl who would confuse rather than clarify. In the process, a great and material part of human existence is brusquely overlooked.</p>
<p>I think an approach built on science, alone, cannot help conservation. We must include human sentience. Both reason and affect must be brought to bear on conservation problems.</p>
<p>The idea is not new, yet it is seems worth articulating, reiterating. Fortunately, threads of support for this approach are emerging from diverse sources.</p>
<p>First, an over-reliance on science alone may turn out to be counter-productive (or at least insufficient) as seen in climate change campaigns. <a href="http://monbiot.com" target="_blank">George Monbiot</a>, writing about &#8220;<a href="http://www.monbiot.com/archives/2010/03/08/the-unpersuadables/" target="_blank">The Unpersuadables</a>&#8221; says:</p>
<blockquote><p>The battle over climate change suggests that the more clearly you spell  the problem out, the more you turn people away.</p></blockquote>
<p>He sounds lost &#8220;that there is no simple solution to public disbelief in science&#8221;. I cannot help wondering if an approach that did not rely only on science would help more.</p>
<p>Understanding human emotions and incorporating that into how we deal  with human-wildlife interactions, conflicts, and conservation issues is now being suggested as an important direction to take. The discipline of <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Conservation-Psychology-Understanding-promoting-nature/dp/1405176784/ref=dp_return_1?ie=UTF8&amp;n=283155&amp;s=books" target="_blank">conservation psychology</a> is also taking shape, hoping to link the understanding of human behaviour with conservation. Writing in the book <a href="http://books.google.co.in/books?id=H_0kqx1KjXcC&amp;lpg=PP1&amp;dq=%22Who%20cares%20about%20wildlife%22&amp;pg=PP1#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false" target="_blank"><em>Who cares about wildlife?</em></a> <a href="http://www.cwi.colostate.edu/CSUWaterFaculty/Default.aspx?WF_ID=209&amp;AspxAutoDetectCookieSupport=1" target="_blank">Michael Manfredo</a> presents developing ideas and results of research on the effects of emotions on memory, decision processes, norms, values, attitudinal changes, and health. His tentative conclusion:</p>
<blockquote><p>Emotions act with cognition to direct human behaviour. They play an important role in memory, decision making, and attitude change; they clarify roles and social structure&#8230; Wildlife professionals should re-examine the widely held view that emotional response issues are trivial, unimportant, or non-informative. Emotions merit careful consideration and thoughtful response.</p></blockquote>
<p>He also quotes <a href="http://books.google.co.in/books?id=Jztkfu72eW4C&amp;lpg=PP1&amp;dq=The%20alchemies%20of%20the%20mind&amp;pg=PP1#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false" target="_blank">Jon Elster</a>, who says, more pithily:</p>
<blockquote><p>Emotions matter because if we did not have them nothing else would matter.</p></blockquote>
<p>Another line of argument comes from the work and ideas of the renowned primatologist <a href="http://www.psychology.emory.edu/nab/dewaal/" target="_blank">Frans de Waal</a> in his recent book <a href="http://www.emory.edu/LIVING_LINKS/empathy/" target="_blank"><em>The Age of Empathy: Nature&#8217;s lessons for a Kinder Society</em></a>. de Waal opens his book with the questions:</p>
<blockquote><p>Are we our brothers&#8217; keepers? Should we be? Or would this role only interfere with why we are on earth, which according to economists is to consume and produce and according to biologists is to survive and reproduce?</p></blockquote>
<p>Linking both ideas of competition-is-good-for-you to their origins around the time of the Industrial Revolution, de Waal presents a survey of modern research in animal behaviour, primatology, and anthropology, where there is compelling evidence for the importance of empathy in moulding social relationships. He examines social animals from dogs to dolphins, monkeys and apes, wolves and elephants.</p>
<blockquote><p>If man is wolf to man, he is so in every sense, not just the negative one.</p></blockquote>
<p>He also does not shy away from talking about emotions and moods, greed and gratitude, attachments and morality. I have not read the complete book yet but the previews seem tantalisingly pertinent. &#8220;What is it that makes us care about the behaviour of others, or about others, period?&#8221; Can we probe the hidden wells of human empathy for a more benign and graceful citizenry on this planet?</p>
<p>The foundations of a conservation ethic must be built on human sentience. And for this to work it may need to sincerely garner the support, not only of conservation scientists, but of painters and musicians, poets and songwriters, playwrights and psychologists, humourists and social workers. It needs, as is often said, to rebuild burnt bridges across the arts,  humanities, and the sciences. It needs to bring back into serious discourse our motivations, emotions, passions, sensitivity, and humanism. Then, perhaps, in the years ahead, we will tread our path on planet Earth as <em>Homo sentiens.</em></p>
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		<title>The edges of the Earth</title>
		<link>http://conservation.in/blog/the-edges-of-the-earth/</link>
		<comments>http://conservation.in/blog/the-edges-of-the-earth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:15:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>T R Shankar Raman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global change and conservation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ecosystem services]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[How far can one keep going straight up an apparently unscaled peak without falling off a precipice? How far can the march of the human footprint on Earth continue without exceeding planetary boundaries and leading to environmental catastrophe? In an important recent paper in Nature, strangely reminiscent of the publication of The Limits to Growth [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How far can one keep going straight up an apparently unscaled peak without falling off a precipice? How far can the march of the human footprint on Earth continue without exceeding planetary boundaries and leading to environmental catastrophe? In an important recent paper in <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature" target="_blank"><em>Nature</em></a>, strangely <a href="http://www.e360.yale.edu/content/feature.msp?id=2195" target="_blank">reminiscent</a> of the publication of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Limits_to_Growth" target="_blank"><em>The Limits to Growth </em></a>by the <a href="http://www.clubofrome.org/" target="_blank">Club of Rome</a> in 1972, a group of scientists poses and develops tentative markers of planetary boundaries being reached or exceeded.</p>
<p>The paper in <em>Nature</em>, an accompanying editorial, the seven commentaries from leading experts, available <a href="http://tinyurl.com/planetboundaries" target="_blank">here</a>, are worth a read for anyone who wants an overview of what the major human impacts on the planet are and where they are headed. Specifically, the authors deal with the following nine issues:</p>
<ol>
<li>climate change</li>
<li>ocean acidification</li>
<li>stratospheric ozone depletion</li>
<li>freshwater use</li>
<li>biodiversity</li>
<li>the global cycles of nitrogen and phosphorus</li>
<li>land-use change</li>
<li>atmospheric aerosol loading (to be quantified)</li>
<li>chemical pollution (to be quantified)</li>
</ol>
<p><span>The paper suggests that three boundaries related to climate change, biological diversity, nitrogen and phosphorous dumping into the biosphere, may already have been exceeded. </span><span>A brief summary of the findings with relevant links is also available <a href="http://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/researchnews/tippingtowardstheunknown.5.7cf9c5aa121e17bab42800021543.html" target="_blank">here</a> at the website of the Stockholm Resilience Centre where the lead author </span><a href="http://www.stockholmresilience.org/aboutus/staff/staff/rockstrom.5.aeea46911a3127427980005551.html" target="_blank">Johan Rockström</a> is based. The seven commentaries along with some other recent research highlights are also available <a href="http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0910/pdf/climate.pdf" target="_blank">here</a>. The real meat of the paper is actually in a parallel publication in the journal <a href="http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/" target="_blank"><em>Ecology and Society</em></a>. Although this paper is in press, it is available <a href="http://www.stockholmresilience.org/download/18.1fe8f33123572b59ab800012568/pb_longversion_170909.pdf" target="_blank">here</a> and this contains the details of the issues at stake, the underlying rationales, and references to the scientific literature based on which the conclusions are drawn.</p>
<p>In our context, given India&#8217;s demographic profile and dependence on agriculture, the aspects related to freshwater use and nitrogen-phosphorous cycles are really worthy of note. Water shortages in the country and the severe depletion of groundwater were recently again in the news following a <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature08238" target="_blank">paper</a> in <em>Nature</em>. Anthropogenic nitrogen loading is already affecting our <a href="http://www.ias.ac.in/currsci/jun102008/1404.pdf" target="_blank">terrestrial ecosystems</a>, <a href="http://www.ias.ac.in/currsci/jun102008/1419.pdf" target="_blank">coastal and marine areas</a>, and <a href="http://www.ias.ac.in/currsci/jun102008/1413.pdf" target="_blank">rivers</a>. Reporting high values of dissolved and sediment-bound nitrogen in Indian rivers, partly due to excessive fertiliser use and associated run-off, the authors of the last <a href="http://www.ias.ac.in/currsci/jun102008/1413.pdf" target="_blank">study</a> grimly conclude: &#8220;Hence, our freshwater aquatic systems can no longer be considered natural, at least with respect to nitrogen transport.&#8221;</p>
<p>A quick survey of the debate emerging from the papers by Rockström and colleagues indicates two main questions are being asked (among others spurred by the publications). First, is it sensible to set a tipping-point benchmark, however scientifically tenuous it may be given the current state of knowledge? There is concern that this might cause complacence among policy makers and administrators, who may avoid responding to the situation until the benchmark is reached or exceeded. The second is the issue of  benchmark itself: for instance, in the case of biodiversity loss. The authors of the study use extinction rate as a measure of biodiversity loss. In <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v461/n7263/fig_tab/461472a_T1.html" target="_blank">Table 1</a>, they indicate a pre-industrial value of rate of extinction at 0.1 to 1 species per million species per year. The current rate of extinction is &gt;100 species per million per year and the proposed boundary is 10 species per million per year. What makes this an acceptable boundary or rate of loss of species?</p>
<p>The overall picture that emerges is alarming, to say the least. The climate crisis is familiar; our newspapers are full of it now. Other concerns appear less commonly in the media. For instance, that our oceans, which absorb some 25% of human CO2 emissions, are undergoing acidification at a rate 100 times higher than at any time in the past 20 million years. This makes a whole range of marine organisms, such as corals and molluscs, susceptible to corrosion of their shells (made of calcium carbonate in the form of aragonite). The decline of aragonite-forming organisms and coral reefs could substantially alter marine ecosystems. Another global concern is that of human tampering of the planetary <a href="http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0810193105" target="_blank">nitrogen</a> cycles. Human activities now input more reactive nitrogen into the planet than all natural processes combined. As a large part of this enters the biosphere, it alters terrestrial ecosystems, as well as freshwater and marine ecosystems.</p>
<p>The paper will doubtless spur more <a href="http://www.e360.yale.edu/content/feature.msp?id=2192" target="_blank">discussions</a> and research into the various benchmarks and their utility in tracking the human footprint. Despite the debates and shortcomings, one real value of the paper as it appears to me is that it brings into one page—onto one <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v461/n7263/fig_tab/461472a_F1.html" target="_blank">figure</a> even, superimposed ominously on the globe—an assessment and visualisation of the nine-fold stranglehold that humans as a species have on Earth. Looking at it we have to keep asking: is the human journey reaching the edges of the Earth?</p>
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